Global Forecasts
Bellwethers of a Recovery
The strength of productivity growth will power corporate profit growth in the US during the year ahead.
Is the US Economy Close to Reaching a Bottom?
The ECB's reluctance to cut interest rates aggressively could have negative growth ramifications going forward.
Will Growing Loan Losses Prevent Recovery?
China's massive stimulus is allowing it to avert the worst of the Global Financial Crisis.
The Global Recession Intensifies
US consumers are dragging down global growth.
Can Fiscal Stimulus Revive the Global Economy?
Governments and central banks are trying to avert the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression.
The US Recession Will Challenge President Obama
Despite an easing of credit conditions, a significant global economic downturn is a fait accompli.
Can Central Banks Revive the Global Economy?
Central banks have been forced to take unprecedented actions in trying to contain the burgeoning crisis.
Could There Be a Second Half Recession?
Growth is weakening dramatically throughout the industrialized world.
The Federal Reserve Will Not Tighten During 2008
There is no end in sight to sluggish economic performance in the advanced world.
Will There Be a Clash Between US and European Monetary Policy?
The ECB is looking increasingly hawkish while the Fed is retaining a dovish bias.
Can the Global Economy Survive a US Recession?: Part 1
The global economy is likely to endure a year and a half of subpar growth.
Can the Global Economy Survive a US Recession?: Part 2
Commodity prices have become untethered from US growth for the first time in memory.
Can Barney Frank Rescue the US Economy?
The Fed is no longer being forced to contain the developing financial crisis on its own.
Will Negative Housing Equity Neutralize US Monetary Policy?
Bear Stearns has been the epicenter of the slow motion financial crisis during the last eight months.
Will Rising Mortgage Rates Neutralize US Monetary Policy?
Tight credit conditions and a subdued consumer are raising the likelihood that the US is moving into a recession.