Global Forecasts

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18 pages

Regardless of the exact contours of the final fiscal cliff deal that is struck, fiscal drag will constrain US growth during 2013.

14 pages

Limp growth in major economies has forced central bankers to pursue unconventional forms of easing as they face the zero lower-bound constraint.

15 pages

Growth disappointed across most regions through the mid-point of 2012.

13 pages

East Asia and Australia are bucking broader weakness prevailing throughout the major economic actors in the global economy.

17 pages

Europe is finding it increasingly hard to extricate itself from its debt crisis and poor growth performance.

15 pages

Sentiment about the US economy is improving as concerns about the European economy grow larger.

20 pages

The Chinese economy will experience a soft landing during the year ahead while US growth should accelerate.

17 pages

Europe is headed towards a new recession as US and Japanese growth stabilizes in positive, if uninspiring, territory.

15 pages

The US will avoid a new recession, but Europe will not be so lucky.

20 pages

Uncertainty is running rampant across almost every region of the world during the third quarter.

39 pages

The US, China, and Japan are growing swiftly while turbulence emerges in Europe.

41 pages

Government policies are increasing the risk level across most major economies.

44 pages

Lull in US growth should prove temporary.

32 pages

Fiscal policy concerns are dominating the discussion in the US and Europe.

41 pages

Inflation concerns arise in China as oil price risks bubble up throughout the world because of the Arab Spring.