Global Forecasts
Will the US Avert the Fiscal Cliff?
Regardless of the exact contours of the final fiscal cliff deal that is struck, fiscal drag will constrain US growth during 2013.
Still Muddling Through: Will Innovative Monetary Policy Revive the Global Economy?
Limp growth in major economies has forced central bankers to pursue unconventional forms of easing as they face the zero lower-bound constraint.
Can the US Economy Regain Momentum?
Growth disappointed across most regions through the mid-point of 2012.
A Global Precession?
East Asia and Australia are bucking broader weakness prevailing throughout the major economic actors in the global economy.
The World Desynchronizes
Europe is finding it increasingly hard to extricate itself from its debt crisis and poor growth performance.
US Growth: The Direction Is Positive
Sentiment about the US economy is improving as concerns about the European economy grow larger.
Is 3% US Growth on the Horizon?
The Chinese economy will experience a soft landing during the year ahead while US growth should accelerate.
Will European Turbulence Slow US Growth?
Europe is headed towards a new recession as US and Japanese growth stabilizes in positive, if uninspiring, territory.
Monthly Report: Indian Summer
The US will avoid a new recession, but Europe will not be so lucky.
A Crisis of Confidence
Uncertainty is running rampant across almost every region of the world during the third quarter.
Monthly Report: Will the Falling Stock Market Produce a US Recession?
The US, China, and Japan are growing swiftly while turbulence emerges in Europe.
Monthly Report: Summer Doldrums-Do Safe Havens Still Exist?
Government policies are increasing the risk level across most major economies.
Could There Be a Double Dip in the US?
Lull in US growth should prove temporary.
Monthly Report: How Will the US Economy Cope with Fiscal Drag in 2012?
Fiscal policy concerns are dominating the discussion in the US and Europe.
Monthly Report: Will Oil Prices Stop the Global Recovery?
Inflation concerns arise in China as oil price risks bubble up throughout the world because of the Arab Spring.